From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: alt.global-warming,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: On Tornadoes, Floods and The Attribution of WEATHER
Date: Sat, 22 Jun 2024 19:50:57 -0500
Organization: AlleyCat Computing, Inc.
On tornadoes:
We KNOW why the EF-0's MIGHT be higher in number now (Doppler RADAR), but...
... there has been no increase in annual U.S. [E]F1-5 tornado counts since
real-time data collection began in 1954 (NOAA).
Strong-to-violent EF3+ tornadoes have decreased by >45% since 1960 (NOAA).
On floods:
Here's what the Bible of climate science, the United Nations' Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has to say:
On detection, Section 11.5.2: "Peak flow trends are characterized by high
regional variability and lack overall statistical significance of a decrease or
an increase over the globe as a whole. Of more than 3,500 streamflow
stations... 7.1% [of] stations showed a significant increase, and 11.9% [of]
stations showed a significant decrease in annual maximum peak flow during 1961-
2005."
https://ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-11/#11.5.2
Thus, as it turns out, more stations actually exhibit a decrease in peak flow,
not more.
On attribution [to human-induced climate change]:
Section 11.5.4: "In summary, there is low confidence in the human influence on
the changes in high river flows on the global scale. In general, there is low
confidence in attributing changes in the probability or magnitude of flood
events to human influence because of a limited number of studies, differences
in the results of these studies and large modeling uncertainties."
https://ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-11/#11.5.4
So, on attribution, there isn't much in the literature on this topic, and
results from the studies we do have are mixed in their findings.
Want to rethink your comment? Or are you thirsty for more getting owned? Trying
to pick a fight with me on this topic isn't going to work out very well for
you.
Hence:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GQtcMFQb0AAQGsl?format=png&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GQtfUvAagAAjcWB?format=jpg&name=large
=====
June:
Feet Of June Snow Hit Fonna, Norway As Europe Turns Blue
Eastern Australia Shivers
Record June Snow In The Alps
Summer In Japan Arrives a Little Late
Europe Chills
It Was A Cold May For Many
Heavy Snow Hits Northeast Iceland
UK Enduring A Historically Cold June
Frosts on June 11
Summer Snow In Northern India
50 Billion Tons Of Snow Has Fallen On Greenland So Far In June
Snowstorm In Himalayas Kills At Least 9
Snow Hits Parts of South Africa For First Time In 40 Years
Scotland Sees Snow
Global Temperature Drop (of COURSE... Hunga Tonga's Water Vapour!)
Warnings Issued In South Africa For "Disruptive Cold And Snow"
Coldest May Lows In 70-Years Hit Wagnerite, Australia
Argentina Abnormally Cold
Almost 7-Feet of June Snow Traps Hikers In German Alps
Snow Set For Scotland
Rare Frost Advisories In Ontario
It's Snowing In Northern India
Spring Freeze "Sharply Reduces" Russia's Wheat Harvest
Summer Skiing In Europe After Record-Breaking Spring Snow
Record Cold Strikes Japan
Frigid Streak At The South Pole
Low Olive Harvest In Greece Due To 'Weather Shifts'
Greenland's Record Ice Gains
Colder-Than-Average May In Europe
South America Freezes
=====
May:
U.S. Ski Industry Reports 5th-Best Season On Record
"Deep, Drifting Snow" Keeps Beartooth Closed
The Suess de Vries Cycle
Spring Anomalies From BC To SoCal
Winter Prolonged In Alaska
Australia's Cold And Snow
Chile's Weather Agency Got It Dead Wrong As South America Freezes
Spring Anomalies From BC To SoCal
Record May Cold Hits South Australia
Latest Snowfall In Decades At Snoqualmie
Frozen Turkey