From: NoBody <NoBody@nowhere.com>
Newsgroups: alt.politics.trump,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics
Subject: Re: Trump Sues Newspaper Over Election Interference
Date: Thu, 19 Dec 2024 07:15:15 -0500
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
On Wed, 18 Dec 2024 08:01:01 -0800, Josh Rosenbluth
<noway@nowhere.com> wrote:
>On 12/18/2024 4:15 AM, NoBody wrote:
>> On Tue, 17 Dec 2024 11:30:51 -0800, Josh Rosenbluth
>> <noway@nowhere.com> wrote:
>>
>>> On 12/17/2024 10:48 AM, AlleyCat wrote:
>>>>
>>>> Pure election interference, JUST like 2016.
>>>>
>>>> It was election interference, plain and simple. Falsifying polls is the same as telling people they don't need to vote, because your candidate is too
>>>> far behind to win.
>>>
>>> This is just plain, fucking stupid. There is no way the poll was falsified.
>>
>> Did the poll's author ever explain what went wrong with her "poll"
>> that resulted in it being completely out of line with the state's
>> actual results?
>
>It's called an outlier. It's supposed to happen a small portion of the
>time. Pollsters who throw away outliers are engaging in a bad practice
>called herding.
>
>https://www.natesilver.net/p/trust-a-pollster-more-when-it-publishes
So the answer is "no".
You should have just said that instead of trying to justify it.
What are the odds of the historically accurate poll being completely
out of whack only several days before the election?
Her lack of explanation of the flaws is itself an explanation cause a
credible pollster would go back and see what went wrong.