From: Josh Rosenbluth <noway@nowhere.com>
Newsgroups: alt.politics.trump,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics
Subject: Re: Trump Sues Newspaper Over Election Interference
Date: Sun, 29 Dec 2024 07:53:13 -0800
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
On 12/29/2024 6:31 AM, NoBody wrote:
> On Sat, 28 Dec 2024 08:17:07 -0800, Josh Rosenbluth
> <noway@nowhere.com> wrote:
>
>>
>> According to you, she should have not published her raw polls in 2016
>> and 2020, instead adjusting them to be in line with other polls (after
>> closer examination). If she had done so, she would have been wrong. By
>> *not* doing so, she was right. Nonsense!
>
> What's nonsense is that you've decided what I've said when the clear
> text says otherwise. I did not say she should not have published the
> polls but that when she found the results out of bed with the others,
> she should have looked for a problem.
She would have found the same problem in 2016 and 2020 that she had in
2024: no recall weighting. Except, not recall weighting was the right
call in 2016 and 2020, but the wrong call in 2024.
Given that reality, should she have published in 2016 and 2020?
> Regardless, you spending all your time talking about 2016 and 2020 is
> because you can't defend her putting out a poll THIS year that was way
> out and she never bothered to check out why.
2016 and 2020 are relevant because they are used to see whether your
claims of what she should have done in 2024 (examine and perhaps not
publish) hold up to scrutiny.