From: Auric Hellman <adhellman1@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: can.politics
Subject: Trump's Canada threats may be sparking a Liberal rebound
Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2025 23:07:31 -0500
Organization: Sons of Rhodesia
After months of record-breaking unpopularity, U.S. President Donald
Trumpâs trade fights with Canada appear to have suddenly given the
Liberals a fighting chance of re-election.
While the Conservatives remain on track to win a majority in the next
election, multiple polls are showing the Liberals rebounding to levels
not seen since the summer of 2023.
Only a month ago, electoral projections were showing the Conservatives
likely to win a historic landslide with the Bloc Québécois in opposition
and the Liberal Party bumped to a distant fourth place.
Now, if an election was held tomorrow, the likely result would be a
conventional Conservative majority with the Liberals in opposition.
In the last week, four consecutive polls have shown the Liberals
capturing around 30 per cent of the popular vote.
These are still comparatively dismal numbers for the Liberals, but it
was as recently as Dec. 30 that an Angus Reid Institute poll pegged the
Liberals with a rock-bottom 16 per cent â the lowest result for the
Liberals in the entire history of Canadian polling.
By contrast, a Feb. 6 poll by Pallas Data put the Liberals at 33.7 per
cent against 39.6 per cent for the Conservatives. When projected out by
election modeller Raymond Liu, the Pallas numbers still yielded a
Conservative majority of 173 seats, but with vast sections of Greater
Toronto and Atlantic Canada still in Liberal hands.
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/trumps-canada-threats-may-be-sparking-a-liberal-rebound
They ain't dead yet
--
Dr. Auric D. Hellman
adhellman1@gmail.com