From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: alt.global-warming,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: Antarctica Is Colder, Icier Today Than At Any Time In 5,000 Years
Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2025 08:22:41 -0500
Organization: AlleyCat Computing, Inc.
More evidence emerges that Antarctica has undergone rapid glacier and sea ice expansion in recent centuries, in line with the
long-term and recent Antarctic cooling trend. [emphasis, links added]
West Antarctica's mean annual surface temperatures cooled by more than -1.8°C (-0.93°C per decade) from 1999-2018 (Zhang et
al.,2023).
Not just West Antarctica, but most of the continent also has cooled by more than 1°C in the 21st century. See, for example, the ~
1°C per decade cooling trend for East Antarctica (2000 to 2018) shown in Fig. ES1 (right).
https://climatechangedispatch.com/scientists-find-statistically-significant-cooling-trend-over-entire-antarctic-continent/
https://climatechangedispatch.com/studies-antarctica-stable-ice-growing/
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/6/BAMS-D-22-0153.1.xml
https://climatechangedispatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/image-18.jpeg
https://climatechangedispatch.com/climate-change-causation-was-the-medieval-warm-period-regional/
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01245-6
https://climatechangedispatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/image-17.jpeg
Throughout the Holocene (Medieval Warm Period, Roman Warm Period, and earlier) and until a few hundred years ago (from ~7,100 to
500 years before the present), coastal Antarctica's Victoria Land (VLC) was substantially warmer than today.
The Ross Sea was also sufficiently ice-free to allow for elephant seal populations (as large as ~200,000 individuals) to thrive
at 73-78°S.
Today, however, elephant seal populations - which require extended sea ice-free sea waters to breed, forage, and provide
nourishment for their pups - can no longer subsist anywhere even remotely close to the coasts of the Antarctic continent. It is
now too cold and the sea ice is too extensive.
The substantially reduced number of remaining elephant seals existing today can only survive on sub-antarctic islands (South
Georgia, Macquarie) at southern South American latitudes (~54.5°S) situated 2,400 kilometers north of VLC (Koch et al.,2019).
The "genetically distinct" VLC elephant seal populations that endured throughout the Holocene and even through Medieval times
have tragically died off in the last few centuries due to the modern-era cooling gradient and subsequent ice cover expansion
(Hall et al.,2023).
"Across all sites, there is a precipitous drop in the number and geographic extent of the SES [southern elephant seals] remains
within the last millennium"
"... the documented population crash and abandonment of the entire coast by SES after ~1000-500 yr BP was due to return of heavy
sea ice"
https://climatechangedispatch.com/biodiversity-threat-alarmist-biologist-hype/
https://climatechangedispatch.com/walrus-comeback-is-more-good-news-climate-crazies-wont-admit/
https://notrickszone.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Elephant-seals-habitated-waters-2400-km-south-of-where-they-can-today-Koch-
2019-.jpg
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/mms.12581
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277379123000392
https://climatechangedispatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/image-19.jpeg
And with the modern sea surface temperatures cooling and southern hemisphere sea ice expansion in recent decades, even the sub-
antarctic islands in the South Pacific that SES are limited to occupying today may not be sufficiently warm and ice-free to
accommodate remaining populations.
Today's southern elephant seals are thus ironically threatened by cooling in the era of anthropogenic global warming.
"[P]ack-ice expansion (both duration and extent) in the Ross Sea over the last several decades has been linked to reduced female
foraging in this region, consequent low weaning weights and survival of pups, and ultimately the decline of the Macquarie Island
population."
Interestingly, Hall et al. also report that not only have the last few centuries (including the present) been "the coldest,
iciest conditions in the post-glacial period" (see the blue sea ice and red temperature trend lines on the Holocene timeline),
but even the last glacial period had periods (~50,000 to 25,000 years ago) with less sea ice than today, allowing SES to occupy
the VLC coast.
=====
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