From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: alt.global-warming,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: No Increase in Climate Disasters Despite Record CO2
Date: Fri, 16 May 2025 09:50:17 -0500
Organization: AlleyCat Computing, Inc.
No Increase in Climate Disasters Despite Record CO2
MSM says 2024 was the hottest year ever, yet EM-DAT data shows no increase in climate-related disasters over the past 25 years.
The narrative is crumbling.
No Increase in Climate Disasters Despite Record CO2
In previous articles, I've delved into the discourse surrounding climate-related natural disasters and their purported increase
due to rising greenhouse gas emissions.
Today, I aim to update this analysis with the most recent data from 2024, a year that mainstream media (MSM) has widely
proclaimed as the hottest on record. For instance, The Guardian
reported that two-thirds of the Earth's surface experienced record-breaking heat in 2024, attributing this to human-induced
climate change.
Image
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2025/feb/20/two-thirds-of-the-earths-surface-experienced-record-
heat-in-2024-see-where-and-by-how-much-visualised
Despite these alarming headlines, an examination of the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT)
reveals a different narrative. The data indicates that, since 2000, there has been no significant increase in climate-related
natural disasters such as extreme weather events, wildfires, droughts, and floods. This finding challenges the prevalent
assertion that higher CO2 emissions and rising global temperatures directly correlate with an uptick in such disasters.
Analyzing the EM-DAT Data:
EM-DAT, maintained by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED)
, offers a comprehensive global record of natural and technological disasters. Focusing on climate-related events, specifically
floods, droughts, extreme temperatures, storms, and wildfires, I observed that from 2000 to 2022, the frequency of these events
remained relatively stable. Contrary to popular belief, certain years in the early 2000s even recorded higher counts than more
recent years.
Image
This finding is particularly intriguing given that the 21st century has seen unprecedented CO2 emissions and supposedly some of
the hottest years on record. If the widely accepted narrative held true, we would expect a corresponding increase in climate-
related natural disasters. The absence of such a trend in the EM-DAT data suggests that the relationship between GHG emissions,
rising global temperatures, and the frequency of these disasters is more complex than often portrayed.
Understanding Pre-2000 Data and Reporting Biases:
It's essential to address the quality and reliability of disaster data, especially from periods before 2000. EM-DAT acknowledges
that pre-2000 records are subject to significant reporting biases. The apparent increase in reported disasters starting from the
1960s coincides with the establishment of organizations like the Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA) in 1964 and
the creation of CRED in 1973.
Image
These institutions improved disaster reporting and data collection methodologies. Additionally, advancements in communication
technologies, such as the advent of personal computers and the internet, have enhanced our ability to document and report events.
Consequently, many smaller or less-publicized disasters prior to 2000 were likely underreported or omitted, leading EM-DAT to
recommend caution when interpreting pre-2000 data. In fact, since September 2023, EM-DAT has classified all pre-2000 data as
'Historic' to denote its lesser reliability.
Note: The difference observed in my plot is a result of the removal of non-climate-related phenomena such as earthquakes.
Defining a Disaster According to EM-DAT:
To contextualize the data, it's crucial to understand how EM-DAT defines a disaster. According to their criteria, a disaster is
an unforeseen and often sudden event that causes significant damage, destruction, and human suffering, overwhelming local
capacity and necessitating external assistance at the national or international level. This definition encompasses a wide range
of events but sets specific thresholds for inclusion in the database. For an event to be recorded in EM-DAT, it must meet at
least one of the following criteria:
Ten or more people reported killed
One hundred or more people reported affected
Declaration of a state of emergency
Call for international assistance
These thresholds ensure that only significant events are cataloged, but they may also exclude smaller-scale disasters, especially
in regions with limited reporting capabilities.
Focusing on Climate-Related Events:
In my analysis, I concentrated solely on climate-related natural disasters, deliberately excluding technological events,
epidemics, and geophysical occurrences like earthquakes. This focus aligns with the prevalent narrative that links GHG emissions
and global warming specifically to an increase in climate-related events. By isolating these categories, the analysis directly
addresses the claims that such disasters have escalated in frequency due to human-induced climate change.
Challenging the Mainstream Narrative:
Despite the EM-DAT data, mainstream media and authoritative bodies continue to assert that extreme weather events are increasing
due to climate change. For instance, a recent article in The Guardian emphasized that we are living in an era of extreme weather,
citing rampant wildfires, floods, and other natural disasters displacing countless individuals.
Image
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2025/feb/15/extreme-weather-new-reality-wildfires-floods-droughts
Similarly, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
has stated...
Image
Source: https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-what-the-new-ipcc-report-says-about-extreme-weather-and-climate-change/
These assertions contribute to a pervasive belief that climate-related disasters are on the rise, a narrative that is not
substantiated by the EM-DAT data.
The Symbiotic Relationship Perpetuating the Narrative:
The persistence of this narrative can be attributed to a symbiotic relationship among funding agencies, governmental
institutions, climate scientists, and the MSM. Research funding is often directed toward studies that emphasize the adverse
impacts of climate change, incentivizing scientists to focus on alarming scenarios. Governmental bodies, in turn, utilize these
studies to justify policy decisions and regulatory measures. The media amplifies these messages, as sensational stories about
extreme weather and impending disasters attract readership and viewership.
Image
This cycle reinforces the perception of a direct and escalating link between GHG emissions and climate-related natural disasters,
despite empirical data suggesting otherwise.
Conclusion:
It's imperative to critically assess the prevailing narratives surrounding climate change and natural disasters. The EM-DAT
records indicate that, contrary to widespread claims, there has not been an increase in climate-related natural disasters over
the past 25 years.
In light of these findings, it's essential to question the motivations behind the perpetuation of this narrative and to seek a
more nuanced understanding of the relationship between human activities and natural disasters.
=====
May:
Cold Sweeps Japan After Historic Winter Snow
Record May Snow Slams Goose Bay
Concordia At -106.1F
Antarctica Had Far Less Sea Ice Just 1,000 Years Ago
Snow And Record May Lows Hit Europe
No May Trend
-100F Returns To Antarctica
May Frosts Persist In Europe
Mumbai Logs Coldest May Temp Since Records Began (In 1881)
Volcanoes That Changed The Modern World
NOAA Pulls Plug On "Billion Dollar Disasters" Database
Mumbai Coldest May Temp Since 1985
Tasmania Sees Snow As Cold Front Grips SE Australia
Atlantic Cools Sharply As Global Temperatures Dip
Another New Study Blows Hole In Antarctic Warming Claims
Snows and Sub-Zero Lows Sweep Europe
Ice Recovery At Both Poles
UK Carbon Prices Soar
A Scholarly Takedown Of The Net-Zero Agenda
Mt. Hutt Sees Record Early May Snowfall
Cherry Blossoms In The Snow
NH Snow Mass
Cold US
Greenland Ice Gain At 8-Year High
Another New Study Finds Antarctica Is Gaining Ice
Japan's Summer-Only Ski Resort Opens With Record Snowpack
Historic May Snowfall Hits Moscow Region
Snow Returns To UK
100 Years of Spanish Rainfall Data Destroys The Climate Narrative
UK Weather Data Is Broken
No Warming Across The High Southern Latitudes
Heat Hysteria: A Manufactured Crisis Built On Asphalt
Was It Earth's Internal Heat That Drove Recent Ocean Warming?
Taiwan Shivers Through Cold Spring
Russia Slammed By Record Late-Season Snowstorm
Upper Midwest Still Frozen