Davin News Server

From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.trump,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: The NWS Office In Austin/San Antonio Issued A Flood Watch For Kerr County 12 HOURS In Advance, Then Issued A Flash Flood Warning Three Hours Before The Guadalupe River Began To Flood
Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:33:33 -0500
Organization: AlleyCat Computing, Inc.


On Fri, 11 Jul 2025 12:29:44 -0700,  Rudy Canoza says...  

> An alert system was in place. It wasn't used.

Bullshit.

The NWS office in Austin/San Antonio issued a flood watch for Kerr County 12 HOURS in advance, then issued a flash flood warning 
some three hours before the Guadalupe River began to flood. You have no clue what you're talking about.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GvNnveUXoAAYIQ_?format=png&name=900x900

This tragedy occurred in a location that has among the greatest risks in the nation of flash flooding, WHERE KIDS IN SUMMER CAMPS 
HAVE PREVIOUSLY BEEN SWEPT AWAY TO THEIR DEATHS, and where warning systems are NOT IN PLACE.

The flood took place in a region of Texas that has long been called, "FLASH FLOOD ALLEY, " and is pictured in the image above from 
a 2022 article by Accuweather.

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y8gb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-
media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8101809e-3f3c-46bd-b52d-8437f0a5c9d5_632x355.png

The flooding was certainly extreme but it should not have been historically unexpected. The documented record of extreme flooding 
in "flash flood alley" goes back several centuries, with paleoclimatology records extending that record thousands of years into the 
past.

According to a contemporaneous 1846 account, cited in a fantastic 2006 PhD dissertation on flooding in Texas by William Keith 
Guthrie, at the University of Kansas:

The Guadalupe would often rise fifteen feet above its normal stand after these heavy rains, carrying with it in its swift torrent a 
number of large trees, uprooted farther up the hills. Smaller brooks, ordinarily not containing flowing water, became raging 
torrents which could be crossed only by swimming.

Newsweek this week recalled an eerily similar event involving summer campers from 1987:

The disaster echoes aspects of a 1987 flood that killed 10 campers at a nearby Christian camp, local meteorologist Cary Burgess 
told Newsweek on Sunday via email... 

She noted that, while flooding like this 'doesn't happen often, " large scale ones "have occurred at least four times in the last 
50 years."

=====

WHOSE fault was this?

Sanderson, Texas flood of 1965. Killed 26, including ten children. Bodies washed downstream as far as Laredo.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GvHP_SWW4AAEJJr?format=jpg&name=large

=====
Subject: More Bullshit From The Left Wing Drag-Queen Lovers
From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Date: 


TX Hill Country
@TX_Hill_Country

10h
The flash flood warning didn't come until much later.

=====

Bullshit.

The warning came 3 hours BEFORE the flood.

=====

A watch means that conditions are favorable. The point is that it did not occur without any advance notice.

An emphatic no! The watch was issued 12 hours before the event. (the warning 3 hours before)

The NWS grossly underestimated the moisture in this storm. It continued north and flooded Burnet and Leander 24 hrs later.

=====

A flood watch was issued hours before that. 

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
118 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

TXZ183>187-202>204-041200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FA.A.0003.250703T1818Z-250704T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Kinney-Uvalde-Medina-
Including the cities of Del Rio, Leakey, Brackettville, 
Kerrville, Bandera, Hondo, Uvalde, and Rocksprings
118 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

... FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... 

* WHAT... Locally heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding across 
 portions of South Central Texas. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches 
 with isolated amounts of 5 to 7 inches are possible.

* WHERE... A portion of south central Texas, including the following 
 counties, Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Medina, Real, Uvalde and 
 Val Verde.

* WHEN... Through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS... Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
 creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
 Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... 
 - A moist tropical airmass combined with a slow moving storm
 system will bring rounds of scattered to widespread showers
 and storms with heavy rain rates possible.
 - http://weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

============================================================================

AlleyCat is one of the several people who dominate Rudy on a daily basis, keeping their bootheels on his little pencil neck to the 
amusement of all.

There Are Several Theories For Why Rudy Can't Stop Lying

Rudy's An Undeserved Narcissist

Narcisists are often pathological liars, because they simply don't care about 
the truth.

They prefer to tell lies and gain control over people than be honest.

Sometimes, compulsive liars are highly impulsive people who struggle to take 
the time to think things through and tell the truth.

Lying doesn't necessarily make you a bad person, but it could be a sign of 
something more sinister.

By the age of three or four, we all start to lie. At this point in our brain's 
development, we learn that we have an incredibly versatile and powerful tool at 
our disposal - our language - and we can use it to actually play with reality 
and affect the outcome of what's happening.

Sooner or later we learn that lying is "bad," and we shouldn't really do it. 
But if Jim Carey's "Liar Liar" taught us anything, it's that this just isn't 
feasible. We all have to lie sometimes.

But some people are pathological liars, meaning they can't stop spreading 
misinformation about themselves and others. The psychological reasons for why 
some people are this way is a bit of a mystery, but in the third edition of the 
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, pathological lying is a 
disorder in its own right, as well as a symptom of personality disorders like 
psychopathy and narcissism.

"I think it comes from a defect in the neurological wiring in terms of what 
causes us to have compassion and empathy," psychiatrist Judith Orloff, author 
of "The Empath's Survival Guide," told Business Insider. "Because narcissists, 
sociopaths, and psychopaths have what's called empathy deficient disorder, 
meaning they don't feel empathy in the way we would."

The Truth Doesn't Matter to Narcissists

When you don't care about other people, lies don't seem to matter. A lack of 
empathy essentially means a lack of conscience, which is a hard concept to 
grasp for a lot of people.

"When they lie it doesn't hurt them in the same way it would hurt us," Orloff 
said. "So many people get into relationships with pathological liars, or just 
can't understand why they're lying, because they're trying to fit these people 
into the ordinary standards of what it means to be empathetic."

But they don't fit. In fact, they may not even realize they are lying half the 
time, because they're not conscious of it. Orloff said they actually believe 
they are telling the truth a lot of the time. It's not so much about the fact 
itself, she said, as it is about wanting to have power over somebody.

This is extremely dangerous for highly sensitive people, because they attract 
narcissists. Then when they see someone is lying, they try and figure it out, 
or blame themselves. Once the lies start, it can end with the victim being 
gaslighted, which is essentially when they are told over and over again that 
their version of reality is incorrect, and they begin to believe the warped 
truth of the abuser.

"The great power of relationships is when you can tell the truth to one 
another, and trust each other, and be authentic - and with pathological liars 
you can't trust them," Orloff said. "You can't base your life around them. It's 
like a moral deficit, and there's no accountability. Someone who is a 
pathological liar will not say I'm sorry for doing it. They will say it's your 
fault."

The only way to escape the clutches of a pathological liar is to be strong 
enough to say "no this is not my fault, this is not ringing true to me, so I 
can't really trust you," she said.

Unfortunately, people tend to doubt themselves, because the lies can escalate 
subtly. It may start with a small white lie, and a few months later the 
victim's life with be a mess of confusion because of the web of tall tales that 
has been woven.

"If somebody lies, don't try and make an excuse about it," Orloff said. "A lie 
is a lie. And if you bring it up to the person and they say it's your fault, or 
no it didn't happen, just know there's something very wrong going on."

Psychologist Linda Blair, an author of many psychology books, told Business 
Insider some compulsive liars are simply too impulsive to tell the truth. The 
impulsive-reflective scale is ingrained in our genes, and it's very hard for 
someone highly impulsive to take the time to think things through, just as it 
is a challenge for a reflective person to jump into something head first.

"If you're an impulsive person, it's really hard to break the habit, because 
you have this terrible feeling inside you that you have to sort things out 
right now," Blair said. "So when it comes to your head, you just say it. That 
doesn't mean you necessarily lie, but it's a little harder for you to stop from 
lying, more than it is for someone who's more reflective."

Pathological lying and narcissism aren't synonymous, they just sometimes go 
hand in hand. In other cases, compulsive liars just might not have the capacity 
to stop themselves blurting things out. And Blair said they just need to learn 
to control their urges and compulsions. Their lies don't necessarily come from 
a bad place.

"I don't think it's something they know how to deal with," she said. "We think 
probably it has something to do with actual brain function and the way some 
people's brains work, which makes it much harder for them to understand the 
effect it will have on other people...  We think, but we just don't know yet 
for sure."