From: -hh <recscuba_google@huntzinger.com>
Newsgroups: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.trump,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: Re: US Lost 32,000 Bartender/Lifeguard/Waiter/Waitress and Yardwork
Date: Wed, 1 Oct 2025 16:43:40 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
On 10/1/25 16:05, AlleyCat wrote:
>
> On Wed, 1 Oct 2025 15:35:29 -0400, -hh says...
>
>> Leisure and hospitality (-19,000),
>> Professional and business services (-13,000),
>> Financial activities (-9,000),
>> Trade, transportation, and utilities (-7,000).
>> Construction (-5,000),
>> Manufacturing (-2,000).
>
> Each and every one of those "jobs" could very easily have been filled with "summer hires".
Deflect attempt = weak. Because just because something is pedantically
possible doesn't mean that it is typical.
> I know... I've done most of those between school years.
Yes, we know that you've never been able to hold down a good job.
> Go back and get the stats for every September and see if there's a pattern.
Those patterns are what's used in the "Seasonal Adjustments" each month.
> Dollas to donuts...
>
> September and late August can also experience a slight dip in employment,
> particularly in certain industries. This phenomenon is
> often attributed to the following factors:
>
> Back-to-school season: As schools reopen, parents may adjust their
> work schedules or leave the workforce to care for their
> children, leading to a temporary decline in employment.
Offset by a surge of new hires of teachers (annual contracts).
> Summer job end dates: Many students and young people work part-time or
> seasonal jobs during the summer months. As summer ends, these jobs
> often come to an end, contributing to a temporary increase in unemployment.
Not when they're students, because students don't count as unemployed.
> Changes in household and childcare arrangements: With the start of the
> new school year, families may adjust their childcare arrangements,
> leading to changes in employment patterns, particularly among parents.
And how much is that offset by changes in childcare services?
> According to BLS data, August and September have historically experienced
> a slight decline in employment growth, although the magnitude of this
> decline is typically smaller compared to December.
Hence, the "Seasonally Adjusted" in the reports...
And your "historically...slight decline" means that the Seasonal
Adjustment was positive, which means that September's raw job numbers
were actually _worse_ than the reported -32,000 jobs loss. Oops!
-hh