From: AlleyCat <katt@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: alt.global-warming,alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,can.politics,alt.politics.liberalism,alt.politics.democrats,alt.politics.usa.republican
Subject: Almost All People That Die From High Or Low Temps In US Die From Cold
Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2025 17:02:57 -0500
Organization: AlleyCat Computing, Inc.
So... WHY do you want to go back to 1880 temps and climate?
Cold is a much bigger killer than heat.
Almost all people that die from high or low temps in US die from cold.
EU looks like Mexico, with death risk over 2x risk in US.
This is partly because much higher energy costs in EU.
Tremendous new paper.
Impacts on Mortality
Marshall Burke, Andrew J. Wilson, Tumenkhusel Avirmed, Jonas Wallstein,
Mariana C. M. Martins, Patrick Behrer, Christopher W. Callahan, Marissa
Childs,
Working Paper 34313
DOI 10.3386/w34313
Issue Date October 2025
A large literature documents how ambient temperature affects human mortality.
Using decades of detailed data from 30 countries, we revisit and synthesize
key findings from this literature. We confirm that ambient temperature is
among the largest external threats to human health, and is responsible for a
remarkable 5-12% of total deaths across countries in our sample, or hundreds
of thousands of deaths per year in both the U.S. and EU. In all contexts we
consider, cold kills more than heat, though the temperature of minimum risk
rises with age, making younger individuals more vulnerable to heat and older
individuals more vulnerable to cold. We find evidence for adaptation to the
local climate, with hotter places experiencing somewhat lower risk at higher
temperatures, but still more overall mortality from heat due to more frequent
exposure. Within countries, higher income is not associated with uniformly
lower vulnerability to ambient temperature, and the overall burden of
mortality from ambient temperature is not falling over time. Finally, we
systematically summarize the limited set of studies that rigorously evaluate
interventions that can reduce the impact of heat and cold on health. We find
that many proposed and implemented policy interventions lack empirical support
and do not target temperature exposures that generate the highest health
burden, and that some of the most beneficial interventions for reducing the
health impacts of cold or heat have little explicit to do with climate.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w34313
=====
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